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Weekly Update (Jul 5): Magic Origins Fully Spoiled

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Magic Origins Spoilers

The entire Magic Origins set has been spoiled! You can view all the cards on our Magic Origins Spoilers page, or take a look at all the latest prices on our Magic Origins page. Prereleases start this upcoming weekend July 11-12!

Finance Brief by SaffronOlive

Like last week, the biggest news this week was Magic Origins. This was the second week of previews, which ended with the entire set being spoiled on Friday. While there hasn't been to much notable price movement yet, there are a couple cards of note. The first is Nissa, Vastwood Seer which is up 35 percent to nearly $25 on the back of a positive review from Patrick Chapin and Mike Flores on their Top Level Podcast. On the other hand casual mythics including Alhammarret's Archive and Pyromancer's Goggles lost nearly half of their value - a trend that is likely to continue as the set is opened.

On the Modern front, people are continuing to buyout lands, most notably Grove of the Burnwillows (up 45% to $65) and Horizon Canopy (up 57% to $70). While these prices are stunning, these are among the most logical buyouts we have seen recently. Both only have one mass printing, both are from the old and low-supply Future Sight set, and both see some amount of play in Modern. Having these two modern lands maintain prices that are on par with half of the Revised duals seems like a stretch, but falling all the way back to pre-spike prices is just as unlikely. On a less-logical note, people bought out Auntie's Hovel (up 279% to $9.25) even though the general consensus seems to be that modern Goblins will be either Mono-Red or Red/Green.

Regarding Magic Online, there was much ado about a player getting banned and his account seized without notice and without said player doing anything in violation of the terms of service. According to the seven pages of legalese, this is WOTC's prerogative, as section 15 states, "Wizards may, at any time, for any reason and in its sole discretion, terminate this User Agreement, deactivate your Accounts, or discontinue Game Service with or without notice to you and with no liability to you." This is certainly not the place to have a conversation about the rightness or wrongness of the banning, but the potential financial ramifications bear mention.

My initial reaction to this story was that it was quite scary. I was aware that WOTC had the power to ban anyone for any reason, or even no reason at all, but this power rarely (if ever) actually gets put into use. The people who get banned from Magic Online are typically either gaming the compensation system or committing some type of fraud (activities clearly in violation of the terms of service). I found the idea that you could wake up one morning and find years of investment and collection building gone based on the "we can ban anyone" clause frightening. I have had conversations with bot owners to confirm that at least some small number of people have sold their MTGO collections over the past few days based on this fear.

Perhaps more interesting is that from the perspective of at least one major bot owner, the outcome of this banning is a good thing; it makes him feel more secure that his significant investment in the MTGO market is safe. Why is this? The banned player was paid what he called a "not unreasonable" amount for his account. Since corporate lawyers (who handled the banning) are not exactly known for giving away money without reason or "from the goodness of their hearts," it seems likely that these lawyers felt this payment was necessary - perhaps because they realize the terms of service is not as iron clad as they would like (meaning they felt there was some potential to lose had it gone to court). I hope to write an article on the topic in the future, but since this might be weeks in the future, I felt it was important to get the message out: there is no need to "fear sell" your Magic Online account based on what happened this past week. If anything, the precedent of WOTC paying for this individual's cards should make you feel more secure about investing in MTGO.

Financial Review of Magic Origins

SaffronOlive breaks down the Magic Origins spoilers in his financial review of the set.

Budget Magic: $18 (and 0.5 tix) Modern Zombie Hunt

SaffronOlive shows off the cheapest and most hilarious deck ever featured on Budget Magic: Zombie Hunt! Budget Magic: $18 (and 0.5 tix) Modern Zombie Hunt

Magic Origins Spoilers - Limited Review Series

Jake Stiles continues his daily reviews of the new Magic Origins spoilers from a limited perspective:

Tournament Results

Articles Recap

Several great articles were published on MTGGoldfish this week:

#Trending Cards

The five most viewed cards on MTGGoldfish this past week were:
  1. Horizon Canopy (Future Sight)
  2. Grove of the Burnwillows (Future Sight)
  3. Collected Company (Dragons of Tarkir)
  4. Snapcaster Mage (Innistrad)
  5. Deathmist Raptor (Dragons of Tarkir)

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