MTGGoldfish is supported by its audience. When you buy through links on our site, we may earn a commission.
Limited Analysis: Draft Khans of Tarkir x3
Summary
- Games Analyzed
- 49,554
- Last Updated
- 2014-10-22
Game Length
- Average Turns
- 9.8
- Average Lands Played
- 6.9
Play or Draw?
Win % on the Play
50.3%
Win % on the Draw
49.7%
Mulligans
| Mulligan to | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win % Average | 37.60% | 21.80% | 10.30% | 0.00% |
| Win % on the Play | 35.50% | 19.10% | 9.50% | 0.00% |
| Win % on the Draw | 39.80% | 24.90% | 11.20% | 0.00% |
| Games | 15,006 | 2,794 | 389 | 34 |
Win Percentage by Color
51.7%
50.6%
51.1%
51.2%
50.7%
Top Cards
| Card | Cost | Games | Likely Win % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flying Crane Technique | 737 | 80.00% | |
| 2 | Armament Corps | 3076 | 76.00% | |
| 3 | Wingmate Roc | 782 | 73.00% | |
| 4 | Kheru Spellsnatcher | 576 | 69.00% | |
| 5 | Duneblast | 975 | 69.00% |
Top Commons
| Card | Cost | Games | Likely Win % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rush of Battle | 3435 | 66.00% | |
| 2 | Trumpet Blast | 2844 | 66.00% | |
| 3 | Woolly Loxodon | 4021 | 63.00% | |
| 4 | Efreet Weaponmaster | 3126 | 63.00% | |
| 5 | Abomination of Gudul | 4324 | 62.00% |
Top Uncommons
| Card | Cost | Games | Likely Win % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Armament Corps | 3076 | 76.00% | |
| 2 | Roar of Challenge | 1026 | 69.00% | |
| 3 | Incremental Growth | 2106 | 68.00% | |
| 4 | Ride Down | 2082 | 67.00% | |
| 5 | Become Immense | 1650 | 65.00% |
Archetypes
| Colors | Win % | Field % | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55.00% | 20.20% | 14,823 | |
| 54.60% | 7.20% | 5,270 | |
| 53.90% | 9.80% | 7,194 | |
| 53.20% | 15.10% | 11,106 | |
| 52.80% | 19.50% | 14,362 | |
| 52.30% | 11.50% | 8,424 | |
| 51.90% | 5.30% | 3,859 | |
| 51.90% | 4.50% | 3,329 | |
| 50.80% | 4.00% | 2,927 | |
| 50.50% | 4.20% | 3,059 | |
| 50.20% | 12.50% | 9,172 | |
| 42.30% | 3.50% | 2,591 | |
| 41.80% | 2.40% | 1,774 | |
| 41.70% | 3.30% | 2,394 | |
| 38.20% | 0.70% | 536 | |
| 36.60% | 0.90% | 692 | |
| 34.30% | 0.60% | 408 | |
| 32.80% | 0.60% | 421 | |
| 32.80% | 1.60% | 1,203 | |
| 31.80% | 1.10% | 826 | |
| 31.70% | 0.40% | 300 | |
| 30.90% | 0.30% | 220 | |
| 30.50% | 1.10% | 803 | |
| 28.60% | 1.60% | 1,210 | |
| 24.70% | 1.20% | 854 | |
| 22.10% | 0.60% | 434 | |
| 14.60% | 0.30% | 205 | |
| 14.50% | 0.30% | 207 | |
| 10.60% | 0.30% | 207 | |
| 7.70% | 0.20% | 156 | |
| 4.90% | 0.20% | 142 |
* This is derived from replay data of drafts. This has the limitation of only seeing cards in play (you cannot see cards in hand in replays). This means there is a bias for expensive impactful cards. For example, Boulderfall is a very expensive ( ) and impactful card. When you do play it, you will probably win the game (as evidenced by the high win percentage). However, we cannot see all the games where it was stranded in your hand and it cost you the game. Thus the data is a bit biased towards expensive, impactful cards.
This data was collected by parsing MTGO KTK release drafts and seeing what cards were played. The usual disclaimer on card Win% for sweepers, overrun effects and other conditional effects. Note the inclusion of Win% on the play is only for the first game of each match.
Commentary
See a full analysis here.